Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Market Rollover - August Series - 25/08/2010

Market Snapshot for August Series – Gained ~101 points in August series  
August series has been very sub-duded on account of markets trading in a narrow range between 5,350-5,450 However, during the last week it broke its narrow range and crucial level 5,500 and hit a 30-month high. In current month series, Nifty has gained 101 point or 1.88% to 5,510.
This would be consecutive third series for the market to close in a positive zone.

Rollover– Positive Rollover cost of ~20bps in September series
Nifty OI currently stands at ` 229 bn which is 16% (OI of ` 198 bn) more than D-2 of July expiry. ~42% of the total positions have been rolled into September series till date, which is slightly lower as compared to D-2 of  last expiry (45%).  

Market wide futures OI is currently ` 805 bn, which is 17% higher than the (OI of ` 687) D-2 of July expiry. Increase in volatility to be observed going forward. We recommend traders having naked long / short positions to be cautious.

Particulars
Rollover
Chg
Current Month
42.2%
3 month Avg
43.4%
-119 bps
6 month Avg
42.8%
-62 bps
Source: NSE India



Sector-wise Rollovers
Highest long Roll: Bullish Signal 
REALTY (56.2%), FINANCE (53.8%), SUGAR (52.1%),
Highest Short Roll: Bearish Signal 
POWER (42.2%)
Lowest Rollover
HOTELS (33.5%), FERTILIZER (38.6%) , PHARMA (40%)

Stocks Rollovers 
Highest long Roll: Bullish Signal
BHARATFORG (68.3%), INDIACEM (64.2%), GTLINFRA (63.8%)
Highest Short Roll: Bearish Signal
ADANIENT (65.6%), IOC (63.2%), PATNI (62.8%)
Lowest Rollover
APIL (18.4%), PFC (18.3%), DIVISLAB (18%)

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