Thursday, October 21, 2010

Markets Today - 20/10/2010 - Disclaimer Post Applies

Nifty future is trading at a premium of ~25 points to October future. Shedding of put across strike prices and call writing at and above 6,000 indicates weakness and less upside from current levels. However, major call writing as well as put concentration at 6,000 levels indicates this to act as crucial level for Nifty.

Option Analysis:
·         Call writing: Major call writing was witnessed between 6,000 and 6,400 where the total outstanding open interest added is 29.71 lakh shares with maximum at 6,000 CE of 10.84 lakh shares. Concentration is being observed at 6,300 CE and 6,200 CE of 79 lakh and 70 lakh shares.

·         Put Writing: On the other hand, major addition was witnessed at 5,800 PE of 3 lakh shares with shedding at higher strikes. Concentration is being observed at 6,000 PE of 81 lakh shares.

Implications: Put shedding across strike prices and call writing at and above 6,000 indicates that some weakness could be seen at current levels. However on account of major call writing as well as put concentration at 6,000 indicates this to act as a crucial level.

FIIs and DIIs activity in capital market segment
·         FIIs were net buyers of Rs 16 crore with Gross buyers of Rs 2,428 crore and Gross Sellers of Rs 2,411 crore.
·         DIIs were net sellers of Rs 27 crore with Gross buyers of Rs 1,124 crore and Gross sellers of Rs 1,151 crore.
India VIX (Inverse relationship between Nifty and Indian VIX)
·         Volatility for 20th October, 2010 close at 23.8 which is 2.45% higher as compared to previous close, after touching an intraday high of 23.86 and low of 21.92.
Implications: Indian VIX surged for consecutive third trading session and thereby closed at the high of the day. We expect it to move upwards and we are Bullish on the same which would have negative impact on Nifty.

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