Nifty future is trading at a premium of ~16 points which reduced from ~45 point to October future. Put concentration at 6,000 level indicates this as to act as a strong support and below that 5,900. However, on the upside we expect 6,200 and 6,300 to act as a resistance on account of call concentration and put shedding witnessed for consecutive third trading session.
Option Analysis:
· Call writing: Shedding is witnessed at 6,200 CE and 6,400 CE of 2 lakh and 1.95 lakh shares with fresh writing at 6,000 CE and 6,100 CE of 8.44 lakh and 4.62 lakh shares. Concentration is now witnessed at 6,300 CE of 75 lakh shares.
· Put Writing: On the other hand, shedding was seen at higher strike prices with maximum at 6,100 PE of 4 lakh shares and major addition witnessed at 5,900 PE of 3 lakh shares. Concentration is being observed at 6,000 PE of 83.65 lakh shares.
Implications: On account of put concentration, there is a strong support at 6,000 at the lower end and below that 5,900. Whereas, on the upside 6,200 and 6,300 would act as a stiff resistance on account of call concentration and put shedding for consecutive third trading day.
FIIs and DIIs activity in capital market segment
· FIIs were net buyers of Rs 107 crore with Gross buyers of Rs 3,267 crore and Gross Sellers of Rs 3,160 crore.
· DIIs were net buyers of Rs 240 crore with Gross buyers of Rs 1,279 crore and Gross sellers of Rs 1,038 crore.
India VIX (Inverse relationship between Nifty and Indian VIX)
· Volatility for 19th October, 2010 close at 23.23 which is 3.94% higher as compared to previous close, after touching an intraday high of 23.23 and low of 20.58.
Implications: Indian VIX surged in today’s trading session and closed at the high of the day. We expect it to move upwards and we are Bullish on the same which would have negative impact on Nifty.
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