Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Markets Today - 11/10/2010 - Disclaimer Post Applies

Nifty future is trading at a huge premium to October future which is a positive sign. However, major call concentration and writing at 6,200 levels indicates this to act as a stiff resistance for intermediate term and Nifty could face some selling pressure above this level. Whereas the downside is limited to 6,000 levels on account of put concentration. Thus the range for Nifty is 6,200 on the upside and above that 6,300 and 6,000 on the downside.

Option Analysis:
·         Call writing: Fresh addition of open interest was observed at 6,200 and 6,300 strike prices of 5.24 lakh and 2.6 lakh shares respectively. Concentration is being observed at 6,200 CE of 61.22 lakh shares.

·         Put Writing: On the other hand, major writing was seen at 6,200 PE of 5.73 lakh shares and 6,100 PE of 4.97 lakh shares. Concentration is being observed at 6,000 PE of 79.75 lakh shares.

Implications: Major call writing and concentration at 6,200 strike along with put writing indicates this as to act as a crucial level on the upside. Thus, on the upside Nifty will face resistance at 6,200 on account of more of call concentration than puts. Whereas on the downside, we expect 6,000 to act as a strong support for October series on account of put concentration.

FIIs and DIIs activity in capital market segment
·         FIIs were net buyers of Rs 810 crore with Gross buyers of Rs 3,298 crore and Gross Sellers of Rs 2,488 crore.
·         DIIs were net sellers of Rs 574 crore with Gross buyers of Rs 1,161 crore and Gross sellers of Rs 1,736 crore.

India VIX
·         Volatility for 11th October, 2010 close at 21.20 which is almost same as compared to previous close, after touching an intraday high of 21.76 and low of 19.67.
Implications: Indian VIX plunged on in today’s trading session and has been consolidating around these levels. We expect it to move upwards and we are Bullish on the same.

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