Sunday, February 28, 2010

DENIP's Mutual Fund Top Pics.

Please find below the comparitive analysis and Mutual Funds we recommend for Growth and Dividend Plans. These are the funds that we suggest our clients for investment in MF. For more information or to invest in these funds please contact Nimesh - 93201 96699 or Dewang 93204 96699.


Thanks,
Nimesh.

Friday, February 26, 2010

MAKING OF BUDGET 2009-10

The Union budget is not just the first draft of the nation's economic history; budget documents are perhaps the best source to decipher the political economy of an era. Behind the document is a long and complex policymaking process.

1. The initial process involves collating receipts and expenditure from various ministries, ahead of revising the budget estimates for the year. Meanwhile, the economic division begins work on studying the macroeconomic backdrop.

2. By November, the finance ministry initiates discussions with various stakeholders, such as industry lobby groups and farm representatives, for their points of view or wish lists, as the case may be. Simultaneously, the officials in the ministry of finance ready the ground before the finance minister begins the first of his four meetings.

3. This year, given the exceptional economic circumstances, the government has had to take a view on the massive economic stimulus that it had undertaken after the onset of the global meltdown. Due to the enormous pressure on the fiscal deficit, there is an argument that the stimulus should be partially rolled back.

4. Confidentiality is a key part of budget preparations. The finance ministry has installed CCTV (closed-circuit television) cameras as an additional precaution. Despite the use of digital technology in budget preparation, the finance ministry has never witnessed a breach of security--an enviable record.

5. For the final week, some of the officials involved in the preparation of the budget are locked in with little or no contact permitted with the outside world.

6. Two days before the budget speech, officers of the Press Information Bureau, the government's public relations wing, enter the picture. A team of around 20 officials prepares press releases in three languages-English, Hindi and Urdu. These officials are also held in quarantine till the time the speech is delivered. The cabinet gets to see a gist of the budget 10 minutes before Parliament meets on budget day.

UNION BUDGET DOCUMENTS

A guide to the Union budget documents The Union budget lists the major heads of earning and spending for the Union government. This includes all sources of funding such as tax revenues and borrowings as well as government spending.

1. Annual Financial Statement- A statement of estimated receipts and expenditure for the fiscal year.

2. Budget at a glance.

3. Budget Speech.

4. Budget Highlights.

5. Outcome budget.

6. Receipts budget.

7. Finance Bill, with custom and excise notifications- Deals in imposition of taxes.

8. Appropriation Bill- Expenditure Bill which is voted by the Lok Sabha.

9. Demand for Grants- Estimates of expenditure, which is voted by the Lok Sabha.

10. Fiscal responsibility and budget management statements- Sets three year targets for fiscal indicators such as fiscal deficit.

11. Explanatory memorandum- Explains provisions of the Finance Bill.

Typically, after the presentation of the budget on the last day of February, Parliamentary Standing Committees examine the government's expenditure claims.

The budget is also scrutinized by the Comptroller and Auditor General, who is expected to submit his report by the end of the calendar year, as well as by the public accounts committee. All taxes, revenues, grants, loans, repayments, proceeds from loans floated by the government and advances from the Reserve Bank of India go into the Consolidated Fund of India. These are voted funds, that is, they are put to vote in Parliament. Nothing can be put in or taken out of here without Parliament's permission.


Thus, the railway budget is also a part of the Consolidated Fund. All other public money, such as small savings, go into the Public Account of India. These are called charged funds, and don't belong to the government, which means they don't have to be voted on and can simply be discussed. The annual financial statement shows the expenditure charged on the Consolidated Fund.

GLOSSARY

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The added value of output of all productive sectors in the economy as measured by the Central Statistical Organization (CSO).

Fiscal Deficit: This is the total new borrowings made by the government every year to meet the gap between its income and expenditure. Thus, the fiscal deficit is the gross addition to the government's domestic debt burden.

Revenue Deficit: This measures the gap between the government's current income through taxes and other revenues, and its spending for the year.

Capital and Revenue Budgets: Expenditure that doesn't create an asset, such as subsidies and interest payments, is classified as revenue expenditure. Conversely, spending to create an asset such as land or buildings, and loans given by the Centre to the states is capital spending. Such expenditure is balanced against receipts, which comprise tax collections, interest and dividend on Union government investments, and others on the revenue side, and loans raised by the Centre on the capital side.


Plan and Non-Plan Expenditure: Plan spending includes the annual funds allocated by the Union government for development schemes outlined in the ongoing Five-year Plan, while the expenditure incurred on maintenance of the projects already created is accounted for under non-Plan spending. Both these spending have capital and revenue components.

Outcome Budget: A practice started by former finance minister P. Chidambaram in 2005 to improve the accountability of fund utilization by the various arms of the government, these attempts to give a detailed account of the performance of all major programmes outlined in the main budget and implemented by all the Union ministries.

Source- www.livemint.com

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Stock Trends - Budget Day

Continuing our stance since the previous few mails, we believe that it is very risky to have naked short positions in the market right now. We believe that there are a lot of stocks that could rise provided the budget is in line with the expectations of the market movers. Budget expectations seem to be muted and focused on fiscal deficit alone. Hence we believe that there is a high chance that the budget might actually surprise us on the positive side.

Having said that following is the stock list; however these are high risk calls and can all hit stop loss if the budget disappoints.

·         Balrampur Chini – Buy at 104 for a target of 110; stop loss at 101
·         Century Textile – Buy at 464 for a target of 474; stop loss at 460
·         Cummins India – Buy at 455 for a target of 462; stop loss at 450
·         Dabur India – Buy at 169 for a target of 172; stop loss at 162 (Good for medium term with a target at 180+)
·         DLF – Buy at 280 for a target of 296; stop loss at 280
·         GVKPIL – Buy at 43.3 for a target of 44.8; stop loss at 42 (good for medium term with a target at 46)
·         HDFC Bank – Short at 1687 for a target of 1666; stop loss at 1697
·         Hindalco – Short at 153 for a target of 149; stop loss at 157 (good short for march series)
·         JP Associates – Buy at 129 for a target of 135; stop loss at 126 (good for medium term with a target at 144)
·         Jindal Steel – Buy at 626 for a target of 650; stop loss at 616 (good for short term)
·         Power Finance – Buy at 249 for a target of 252; stop loss at 246
·         Shriram Transport – Buy at 430 for a target of 435; stop loss at 425
·         Welspun Gujarat – Buy at 237 for a target of 242; stop loss at 230

I have tried to include almost all BSE A group stocks where the trend was clearly visible. We will not be tracking these calls and might not even take positions in many of them. This is just to help you get an idea of what the trend looks like in case you’re holding any one of the above mentioned stocks.

Please do not go blindly long on the market as well because the major Concentration level of call options for March series is being observed at 5,100 of 37.5 lacs shares and 42.5 lacs shares at 4,500 put options. By considering concentration level and premium, march series likely to end between 4,400 at lower end and 5,200 at upper end.

Hope this post helps !

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Trading Ideas - 25/02/2010 - Previous disclaimers apply !

The markets have been lackluster refusing to give a clear direction for both the investors and the traders. However we believe that an accurate tone will be set for the markets starting tomorrow. Having said that following are the stock trading ideas for tomorrow:


  • ·         Adani Enterprise – Buy at 490 for a target of 497 (1.5% trading gain)
  • ·         DLF – Buy at 288 for a target of 293 (1.7% trading gain) - Target Hit !!
  • ·         HUL – Short at 241.9 for a target of 237 (2% trading gain) - Target Hit !!

There are a lot of stocks that look attractive to buy at their current levels. Hence we advise you to close your short positions or hedge them with Nifty Calls. Do not have naked short positions in the market.

Quick Review on Railway Budget 24 Feb 2010.

  • FY10 : Railways expect to achieve total Receipts of Rs 88281cr; Surplus Rs951cr; freight loading 890 mn tn (Vs 882 estimated).
  • FY11: Freight loading seen at 944 mn tn;
  • To set up Dedicated Passenger Corridor through National High Speed Rail Authority.
  • To set up Freight Corridors across N-Cut Freight on Foodgrains and Kerosene by Rs100/wagon.
  • To acquire 80,000 New Wagons.
  • To set up 10 Auto & auto Ancillary Hubs in 10 locations (thru PPP).
  • To set up 5 wagon factories (thru PPP).
  • To Run 101 new suburban trains in Mumbai.
  • To set up wagon repair shop in Mumbai.
  • To Introduce 54 new trains in FY11; to extend routes of 21 trains .
  • Not to Raise Freight Rates.
  • To set up Special Task force to clear Investment Proposals within 100 days.
  • To add 1000 route km of lines this year; it is 64015 route km currently Vs 53596 Route km in 1950.
  • 120 new trains to be started, of which 117 to be flagged off.
  • To construct93 multi-functional complexes.
  • Through PPP: To set up 10 Auto & auto Ancillary Hubs in 10 locations, To set up 5 wagon factories, to set up Multi-level parking complex and 6 Bottling plants (Ambala, Amethi, Trivandrum, Nashik, amongst others).
Thanks,
Nimesh

Rail Budget & Update to calls sent Previously !


Tata steel made a low of 563.5 some time back.  You can keep your sell orders just above 562 to finish the short call today.

Bharti Airtel is struggling to go higher than the 280 -281 mark.

For the rail budget we recommended Bartronics and all stocks except Bartronics has fallen by over 7%. However we view the budget as mildly positive since it has laid out several growth opportunities. TWL, Texmaco & BEML should see some buying interest going forward.

Titaghar, Kalindee, Hind Rectifier, Taxmeco going up from current levels. Those who wishes to buy / average they can do so including in BEML. Support levels are: Titaghar – 373, Kalindee 179, Texmaco 138, BEML 1002



Steel stocks came off the day's lows after Rail Minister Mamta Banerjee kept freight rate unchanged in the Rail Budget for 2010-2011.

Meanwhile, the BSE Sensex was up 9.46 points, or 0.06% to 16,295.78.Steel Authority of India (up 0.14% to Rs 208.20), Jindal Steel & Power (up 0.45% to Rs 620) and JSW Steel(up 1.61% to Rs 1068.25) edged higher.But, Bhushan Steel (down 0.34% to Rs 1610), Tata Steel (down 0.59% to Rs 573) and Ispat Industries (down0.80% to Rs 18.50) edged lower.

Cement, steel and petroleum companies transport bulk of the material through the railways and therefore no
hike in freight rates augurs well for these industries.



To get similar news / stock updates directly in your mailbox free of cost just drop us an email at dewang@denip.in or nimesh@denip.in

Markets Lackluster - Buy Nifty PUTs - Previous disclaimers apply !

The markets are looking really lackluster and without any signs of rising higher. We recommend you’ll to buy PUTs and hedge your portfolios / earn money trading from them.

Following are some of the PUTs you can buy:

·         Nifty PE 4900 Feb – 48.65 , target 56
·         Nifty PE 4600 March – 69, target 85

However these calls are based on what the markets are trading right now. Our charting server is still down and should take some time to be working.

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Trading Ideas - 24/02/2010 - Previous disclaimers apply !

Our chart updating server is facing issues today and hence the update to our charts will not be available possibly till tomorrow morning. However since tomorrow is railway budget following are some stocks that will react positively to a good rail budget

  •          Titagrah wagons
  •          Kalindee rail
  •          Texmaco
  •          Bartronics


Out of the following we would advise you to long Bartronics (CMP 152.6) for tomorrow but with a strict stop loss at 148.

Carried forward calls
  •          Bharti Airtel – Long since 276.5 for a target of 282. Closed at 280.8 today i.e. 23/2/2010
  •          Tata Steel – Short since 572 for a target of 562. Day low of 565 but closed at 576 on 23/2/2010


Rest of the story remains the same, remain bearish on Nifty but do not carry naked long /short positions  for both the Rail & Union budget. 

Mutual Fund (ELSS) Recomendation for Tax Saving.

We recommed our clients to invest in the below 2 MF for ELSS and Save Tax under sec 80C. BSL Tax Relief 96 and HDFC Tax Saver. BSL Tax Relief 96 is a very good fund for receiving the dividend and HDFC Tax Saver is good for Growth option. Below table shows the details of both schemes.


For investing in MF and for any queries related to Tax Saving, please contact me or Mr. Dewang on 93201 96699 / 93204 96699.

Mutual Fund investment are subject to market risk, please read the SID carefully before investing.

Thanks,
Nimesh.

Monday, February 22, 2010

Trading Ideas - 23/02/2010

Stock Name

Stock Call
Buy / Sell Price
Target Price
Profit %
Bharat Electric
Sell
2048
2020
1.4%
Bharti Airtel
Buy - Highly Speculative
276.5
282
2.0%
Tata Steel
Sell
572
562
1.7%


Mentioned in the table are the trading ideas for tomorrow ! 

Bharti Airtel - Stock Update - Fundamental News

Bharti Airtel has gone through a downgrade at S&P and at the same time the Government of India has said that it will issue a notice inviting all players for the 3G Auction within a week’s time.  This is a mixed bag of news for Bharti Airtel. Hence we advise you to avoid the stock at the moment and wait for a clear direction in the budget.

Following are the links:

S&P Downgrade Link:

3G Auction Invite Link:

Hope this helps.




Previous disclaimers apply !

Nifty Ideas - Sent to email subscription clients - Read disclaimer from previous posts

Email subscription clients were advised to buy the following

  • March series Nifty 4600PE option at 66 for a target of 80.
    • Nifty 4600PE March series HITS our target of 80 !! Book profits !! Call sent when put was at 66Rs
  • High risk investors can rather short the Nifty for a target of 4880.

    • Nifty Target of 4880 hit !!
      We, advised a Nifty short call at 4915 level of Nifty and got covered some time back at 4880 with the Nifty currently trading at 4878. A trader would have made Rs. 1750 per lot. With an exposure margin at a max of Rs. 10,000 he would have made a minimum of 18% return.


To get similar calls directly in your mailbox just drop us an email at dewang@denip.in or nimesh@denip.in 

Saturday, February 20, 2010

Weekly Market Outlook - Sent to Email Subscription Clients - Read previous disclaimers

Please find below the screenshots of the weekly market outlook for the 22nd of February 2010. This week will be filled with a  lot of volatility and hence we advise you to not take any major single side positions (either long or short). We would also advise you to be cautious and hedge your positions with the help of Nifty PUTs or CALLs whichever is applicable.

Historically, the markets have risen 7days before the budget and fallen post budget (next 7days). Hence it is more essential right now to use Nifty options wisely. 


Following are the screen shots of the email sent to our email subscription clients.







To view these images better, click on them and download onto your hard-drive, post which you can zoom into the same. 

We provide these services totally free of cost and to subscribe to them drop an email at dewang@denip.in or nimesh@denip.in

Have a safe trading week.

Friday, February 19, 2010

Mr. Alok Routray joins DENIP Consultants Pvt. Ltd. as Head - Trainings Workshop.

We are proud to announce the joining of Mr. Alok Routray at DENIP Consultants Pvt. Ltd. as Head - Training Workshops. Alok, will be leading the business vertical of Trainings @ DENIP which will be coined as DENIP Investment Academy. The academy will provide courses in area of various forms of Investments and Taxation.

Alok has a work eperience of more than 5 years in felds of Marketing and HR. He has done his MBA in Marketing from Orissa after his graduation and then his PGDM in Finance from Europe Asia Business School, Pune. I wish Alok All the best for this opportunity and I am confident that he will develop this business vertical to the best of his capabilities.

Regards,
Nimesh.

Making Sense of Tax-saving Investments

Its tax-saving season and the purveyors of tax-saving investments are out in full force. For the most part, this means insurance companies and unit-linked insurance plans (ULIPs). There was a time when tax time was driven by accountants asking salary-earners to invest in NSCs. That option is still open, but the sales pitch has been taken over by tele-marketers extolling the virtues of ULIPs from at least January onwards. In fact, the calls actually started in December this time. The reason was that from January 1st, new expense rules meant that only newer, lower-cost ULIPs could be sold. Therefore, the insurance industry made a special effort in December to ensnare as many people as possible in the older, higher-cost ULIPs.


Anyhow, the real problem is that many of us are still not planning our tax-saving savings systematically, which is what leaves us scrambling for options at this time of the year. As a result, I find that for tax-saving investments, we tend to think about tax first and investments later. As long as something saves tax, its characteristics as an investment are paid less attention to. Much of the time, waking up late to these investments means that they are chosen more for their convenience than for their suitability as investments. The time to plan tax-saving investments is much earlier in the financial year. In February, or March, it's much more likely that you will make hasty decisions.

When you evaluate tax-saving investments as investments, the most important parameters are returns, safety and liquidity. On safety, the government-guaranteed systems like PPF and the NSC score, but they have the longest lock-in. Given the mandatory lock-in of tax-saving investments, it makes sense for most investors to concentrate their investments in ELSS mutual funds. These funds have the lowest lock-in - three years - among all tax-saving possibilities. Given the term of the investments, the chances are that you would earn far better returns than in any other option.

There are other options that give equity-linked returns - ULIPs and the New Pension System. Of these, ULIPs have a long lock-in - at least ten years - coupled with high costs and poor transparency. Moreover, investors have to commit to continuous payments for a certain period-if they can't keep up then the effective cost shoots up to a ruinous level. However, the money that you put into equity tax-saver funds is best spread out over the year in an SIP. At the end of the year you could end up catching a high point of the market and thus lose out on the advantage that cost averaging through the year will give you.

Anyhow, whether that happens this year or not, it's still not too late. Given the volatility in the markets, you could still do some cost-averaging to be on the safe side, perhaps by breaking up your investing into three equal parts till 31st March.

On a different note, there's a piece of bad news for honest and regular tax-payers who were looking forward to the Direct Tax Code. The draft DTC was released by the government last year. Although the document had some rough edges, its thrust at simplicity was refreshing. However, things are not looking so bright for the new code now. Within the government, there seems to be a lot of rethinking on the DTC. My belief is that within the government and the bureaucracy, as well as in the accounting profession, there are a lot of vested interests who don't welcome simplicity. These people's livelihood and influence depends on the taxation system being complex and open to abuse, and they will fight hard against its simplification. I hopetheir efforts fail but at the moment, things don't look very good.

Thanks,
Nimesh.

Source: valueresearchonline.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

ISPAT INDs - CMP 19.4 TGT 21 SL 19






Ispat inds has again entered its trading range from 19.4 to 21 and we would recommend a buy at 19.4 with a target of 21 i.e. over 7% of gain.




We have recommended this to our mailing list clients as well. To subscribe to the same Free of Cost just drop an email at dewang@denip.in or nimesh@denip.in

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

IIP for Dec’09 at 16.8% YOY.

IIP reaches the mind boggling growth at 16.8%, highest since Nov’94, much above consensus estimate of 12.3%. Month over month IIP increased by an impressive 11%. IIP increased 8.6% during Apr-Dec vs 3.6% previous year. This stellar growth was driven by Manufacturing and base effect (-0.2% in Dec’08).


Manufacturing strong on both yoy and monthly basis:

• Manufacturing output, with higher weightage in IIP, rose by a strong 18.5% yoy. Within manufacturing, as many as 14 out of 17 industry groups showed positive growth. But weakness in food products continued due to bad monsoon. Transport equipment and parts (+82% yoy), machinery and equipment (+45%), metal products and parts (+12%) showed major growth (see table in next page) indicating that construction, infrastructure and auto sectors are driving growth currently.

• Mining grew at 9.5% in Dec compared to 10.4% in Nov. Electricity increased at 5.4% in Dec vs. 1.8% in Nov. On m/m, both Electricity and mining posted positive growth.

Capital Goods improved significantly and Consumer Goods still strong:

o The consumer goods grew at 12% in Dec as consumer durables grew at 46%, the highest ever after more than 20% growth for past 5 months. The non-durables improved and grew at 3.7% yoy (14% over the last month). Consumer durables growth was supported by booming car and white goods sales helped by low financing cost and improving outlook. Also expectation of increased cost after budget is driving car sales in Jan-Feb.

o Intermediate goods remained robust at 21.7% yoy indicating that overall industrial activity will likely remain elevated.

o Capital goods zoomed at 38.8% in Dec. On month over month basis, it increased 41% in Dec. It indicates that growth is becoming more broad-based moving from consumer sectors to capital goods sector. The ECB data for Dec also shows increased borrowing for capital goods imports.

Bottom Line:

o There is no denying the fact that IIP growth was partially helped by low base and policy stimulus. But obviously the positive momentum has gained traction with growth becoming more broad based.

o A higher than expected growth in Industry will offset any decline in Agriculture resulting in a GDP growth in FY10 that has the potential to surprise on the upside.

o RBI has already announced that the policy action is not event driven like budget. So we expect a rate action only in April as WPI inflation peaks, Govt borrowing for FY11 are out and Global scenario becomes clearer.

o Expectation of higher growth and inflation in FY11 will increase nominal GDP expectation next year. So fiscal deficit as % of GDP will be lower in FY11. Tax revenues also go up on better growth prospects. So, net borrowing for FY11 can be expected to be lower than this fiscal.

Thanks,
Nimesh.

Saturday, February 13, 2010

Coffee with CEO.

Today I met 3 CEO's Mr. Sanjay Jha (CEO-Cricnext.com), Mrs. Pallavi Jha (Exec. Director Dale Carnegie), Mr. Alvyn (CEO - Pagalguy.com) at Barista, Atlanta Bldg, Nariman Point, Mumbai. Thanks to Europe Asia Business School for giving me this opportunity. They were all first gen. CEO's.

They shared their experiences about their qualification and professional lives and how they reached this level. Mr. Sanjay is graduate and post graduate in Economics. He started his career in Banks and then worked for FMCG and ended becoming an entrepreneur when he started http://www.cricnext.com/.

Mrs. Pallavi Jha shared her experiences about her qualification and work. She started her professional career working for FMCG firrm and then entered the Wallchand Industries as Director. She explained the importance of MBA and what are the important points to be considered by people to start a business.

Mr. Alvyn is a MBA from Wharton. He started his firm http://www.pagalguy.com/ before he started his MBA. He shared his views on starting an enterprise and how to sustain it. He also shared his story on how he dealt with his parents on doing his post graduation.

I learnt a lo from these people. When I asked Mrs. Jha on giving me some imporatant points for running an enterprise, she said the most important part is to select a diversified team and also having prople with higher knowledge at times. She said its very important not to have Arrogance and Ego in business as it leads nowhere.

I was obliged to have their views and suggestions and I am sure this session will help me in taking future decision in business. My personal thanks to Mr. Nikhil Agarwal (Director-EABS) for inviting me for this event and to the CEO's for sharing their experiences. I am sure all the students present at the event had a great time.

Cheers,
Nimesh.

Thursday, February 11, 2010

Section 80 C of Income Tax Act.

Five Heads of Income for Individual:
1. Salary.
2. Income from House Property.
3. Profits & gains from business of profession.
4. Capital Gains.
5. Income from other sources.

What is Section 80C:
 In order to encourage savings, the government gives tax breaks on certain financial products under Section 80C of the Income Tax Act.


Investments made under such schemes are referred to as 80C investments. Under this section, you can invest a maximum of Rs l lakh and if you are in the highest tax bracket of 30%, you save a tax of Rs 30,000. The various investment.

Max limit = Rs.1 lakh.


Options for Investment in Section 80C:
1. Premium paid to Life Insurance.
2. PPF = Max rs. 70000.
3. NSC = 6 years (Interest Taxable).
4. Principal repayment of housing loan.
5. Tution fee for school children (Max 2 children).
6. ELSS.
7. Investment in Infrastructure Fund.
8. Contribution towards EPF.
9. Bank Term deposit for 5 years.
10. Senior citizen savings scheme.
11. Post office deposit for 5 years.
12. Premium paid towards deferred annuity.

Tax free return from 80 C:
1. Life Insurance.
2. Provident Fund.
3. ELSS.

Taxable return from 80C:
1. NSC
2. Post Office.
3. Pension Plan.
4. Bank FD with section 80C benefit.

Expenditure:
1. Children tution fees.
2. Principal repayment on housing loan.

Thanks,
Nimesh.

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Omkar Patil joins DENIP Consultants Pvt. Ltd. Advisory Board as IT Consultant.

We are proud to announce that Mr. Omkar Patil is now on Advisory board of DENIP Consultants Pvt. Ltd. He will advise and assist DENIP Consultants Pvt. Ltd. in developing, setting up and managing the entire Information Technology department.

Omkar Patil is a Mumbai based IT professional, currently working as a Analyst with one of the leading organizations in India. Omkar received his Bachelor’s degree in Computer Engineering from Mumbai University and has completed his Masters of Business Administration in IT from Symbiosis International University.

Omkar has also authored a book, "Object Oriented Programming Using C++", for the students of Pune University. Describing DENIPOmkar says, "The most family-friendly and flexible company I've worked for!"

We are thankfull to Mr. Omkar for helping us in setting up the IT dept and also wish him good luck for his professional career.

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Expectations from India Budget 2010.

The Indian Finance Minister is going to announce Union Budget 2010-11 on 26th February, 2010. Everyone is as eager to know the India Budget 2010 expectations as the final budget itself. The budget results 2010 are keenly awaited for several reasons. Some of these are:
1. What measures will be taken up to tame high inflation rate, which has given rise to high prices of primary food articles and has caused fiscal deficit?
2. How a balanced budget will be managed to cope up with rapid economic growth and the stagnancy seen in the below poverty level?

The finance minister has plenty of issues to take into notice in order to come up with an ideal budget plan that meets everyone's expectations. The results will be unfolded in the month of February. But, the expectations from budget 2010 that have come to the notice are vital and play significant role in the pre-budget scenario.

Taxes:
The common men and the corporates are looking for decrease in taxes. The Finance Minister is likely to augment exemption limit of individual taxes to Rs 3 lakh from Rs1.60 lakh for salaried people. Exemption limit for women is expected to be increased from 1.80 lakh to 4 lakh and for senior citizen from Rs 2 lakh to 5 lakh.
However, taxes levied on the perks availed by income earners are expected to be restructured on higher level. This arrangement may satisfy junior employees and senior citizens. But, it may not go well with the people belonging to higher position.

Corporate Tax:
A reduction of 30% is expected in the corporate tax. The expectation is found in line with the introduction of Direct Tax Code (DTC) suggesting a 25% rate. The individual rate was lowered by 30% previous year also.

Capital Gains Tax:
As far as the 2010 India Budget expectation in the area of capital gain tax is concerned, finance minister is unlikely to bring any reform in this category of tax. It is predicted to be included under the Direct Tax Code, to be implemented from April 2011.

Re-fixing of Tax Slabs:
As mentioned earlier, the tax slab for women is expected to be revised to 4 lakh and senior citizens to Rs 5 lakh. However, second and third slabs of tax would see significant change.
The second tax slab is expected to be augmented from the existing Rs 3 lakh to Rs 1 million to be taxed at 20%. The third slab is likely to be increased from Rs 5 lakh to Rs 25 lakh to be taxed at the rate of 30%.
These revisions would act in favor of the reputed advocates as well as the doctors.

Gratuity Limit:
The India Budget 2010 expectations show that significant revision in gratuity limit is also considered. The gratuity limit of the income class is expected to be raised to Rs10 lakh in the budget 2010 from Rs 3.5 lakh. Both the upper as well as middle level executives will benefit a lot, if this revision is brought into effect.

Employees are paid gratuities in the government as well as corporate organizations during the time of their retirement. The amount that is dished out as gratuity falls outside the tax regime. If the gratuity limit is enhanced, the employees will surely benefit from it.

Self Assessment Slab:
The self assessment slab for businessmen and professionals is Rs 40 lakh at present. According to expectations, the slab may be revised to Rs 1 crore to lower the burden felt by the business people and professionals.

Stimulus:
India Budget 2010 speculations suggest that it is not the right time for the government to roll back stimulus packages, despite the fact that GDP growth of the nation in the Q2 (July – September) of the current fiscal stood at 7.9%.

However, experts believe that government would withdraw few of the subsidies from the market. The oil companies were aided with the stimulus package to check loss. Government did not allow the Oil companies to raise product costs of kerosene and diesel, which would have forced the common men to pay more.

As high prices of diesel and petrol would bear adverse effect on the transport rates of food products, the stimulus packages are expected to continue in the oil industry. However, partial withdrawal of the stimulus aid can be expected in this sector to tackle the situation of increasing fiscal deficit.

Nevertheless, stimulus packages from engineering as well as export sectors are expected to be rolled back.

Agriculture Sector:
According to India Budget 2010 expectations, the agriculture sector would be the highlight of the session. This sector is likely to receive enormous boost from the government. Finance minister's invitation to the farmers for the pre-budget meet is held to be the main reason behind such speculation.

Infrastructure and Social Sector:
Infrastructure industry is also expected to be the focus of the budget results of 2010. Many believe that development in this sector would account for massive growth in GDP. However, it is unlikely to ease monetary policy to better infrastructure. Interest rate cannot be reduced as well.

Railways:
According to 2010 budget speculations, the transportation charges for bulk commodities in railway industry are likely to be increased. The turnaround in the economic conditions of India is expected to boost the transport costs of cement, coal, iron ore and steel. Previous year, the Ministry of Railway refrained from raising transportation costs to help sector tackle the scenario of global meltdown. The ministry has not come up with its plan for hikes yet. But, the range can be fixed somewhere between 5 and 10%. If this becomes effective, one would need to pay Rs. 100 to 200 per tonne.

Other Sectors:
While taking into account the India Budget 2010 expectations of various sectors, it was found that the garment industry of India is looking for considerable cut in interest rates in its exports segment. The garment exporters also want the ministry to remove all the confusion faced in the case of excise as well as custom duties. The sector wants major commercial as well as fiscal relief. Similarly, the Indian tea industry is expecting to get an allocation of more than Rs 130 crore, which was granted in the fiscal year 2009-10.

Source: http://business.mapsofindia.com/india-budget/2010-expectation/.

Thanks,
Nimesh.

Saturday, February 6, 2010

Running a thela, MBA style! 15 street vendors are getting management tips on running their business from B-school students ARUNDHATI RANADE.

Nimesh Marfatia in Pune Mirror on 4th Feb 2010.

http://epaper.timesofindia.com/Repository/ml.asp?Ref=UE1JUi8yMDEwLzAyLzA0I0FyMDAzMDA=

Imagine your regular paani puri vendor playing soothing background music as you gulp down his fare. Seems like a dream, right? It's not a dream any more. At least 15 street food vendors in Kalyani Nagar have been getting tips in business management from B-school students as a part of an ongoing project.


Management students of Europe Asia Business School (EABS) are working for the project ‘Microscope’ along with young Indians and World Entrepreneurship Forum. The students have adopted 15 vendors and have already studied their business processes by spending a day with them last week. Now, these students will work along with these vendors for a couple of months to develop their businesses by suggesting ways to cut costs and introduce profitable strategies.

These benefits are a two-way street. Even the students are getting practical knowledge from vendors by understanding the whole process of development. Two of these students — Gargi Kumari and Nimesh Marfatia — share their experiences with Pune Mirror.

Nimesh Marfatia:
For my project, I selected a vada pav vendor near the More store in Viman Nagar. Sunil Vitkar runs this small street-side business named Aditya Snacks.Along with vada pav, he serves idli, poha, upma, tea, dosas, medu wada, dal wada, uttappas etc. Customers start pouring in from 8.30 am. I noticed that the batches of food prepared during peak hours were more. I was surprised to note the way things were taken care of smoothly. It was professionally managed and the service was quick. Goods of over Rs 50 were sold every minute, on an average, during the peak hours. Sunil wants to expand his business and dreams of owning a hotel one day.
 
I liked his passion and vision. Even we are taught in B-school about this. Sunil has studied only till Class X. But despite his limited education, he manages his business well. Business opportunities for him include canteen services in companies, tiffin services to working professionals and so on. He has plenty of competition from other vendors on road and fast food hotels in the area. I asked him to focus on cleanliness, prepare and display a menu card, make dosasin butter and charge the cost to the customer, increase the variety of dosasand play soft music (not songs). From my observations, I have found that there is a huge potential for the micro-entrepreneurs like Sunil to grow in this country.
 
Gargi Kumari:
I chose a florist named Sameer Mahapatro, who operates a small stall selling bouquets. Sameer is a class X pass. He came from Kolkata to Pune two years back in search of livelihood. Sameer starts his day by taking stock of flowers and ferns left over from the previous day.After that, he calls up his supplier for an inventory of Rs 2,000, which usually lasts for around a week or so. His average sale for a normal day comes to around Rs 600, which shoots up to Rs 4,000 on occasions such as Valentine's Day. His average profit per week is Rs 1,230, ie, a margin of 40 per cent.
 
However, this means that his monthly profit comes to about Rs 5,000 approx. His stall's USP is its location in front of a famous bakery in Viman Nagar.To motivate him and help his business, I asked him to focus on cleanliness. Most Viman Nagar residents fall in the upper middle class bracket, so they value a cleaner shop. I have also asked him to change the backdrop of the stall. Sameer starts making his bouquets from 11 am and is done by around 1 pm. However, he keeps the bouquets on display only in the evening because of the perception that customers buy flowers only in the evening and at night. But flowers need to be on display once they are ready. I found that Sameer makes no efforts to retain his customers. Cutting down on expensive flowers can bring his costs down.Though he sells old flowers at a lesser price, he can bring this to the notice of customers by putting the sale tag on old bouquets. I will track his business for a few months and observe the benefits of my suggestions during this course.
 
Thanks,
Nimesh.